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Trump's agenda of higher tariffs, tax cuts, and stricter immigration measures could, if actually implemented, spur inflationary pressures, thus curbing the momentum for interest rate cuts. This ‘higher-for-longer’ interest rate environment favours hedge funds over fixed income investments – an asset class we have downgraded from 3/5 to 2/5.

Investing in resilient corporates which can weather such rapid transformation – and also the prospect that changes may not take place smoothly – will be key

For UBP’s Investment Outlook 2025, Europe is entering a pivotal year. According to Norman Villamin, the continent’s fragmented economy has come to a crossroads where challenges and transformation intersect.

In this podcast, our expert Mohammed Kazmi, Senior Portfolio Manager & Chief Strategist for Fixed Income, shares insights into the anticipated landscape for interest rates and credit markets in 2025.

In this podcast our Global Head of Forex Strategy Peter Kinsella sheds some light on the mechanisms behind gold’s spectacular rise.

After a strong performance in November driven by the re-election of Donald Trump, US equities remain one of our key convictions.

After a post-pandemic slump, the software sector is rebounding, with the rise of AI agents poised to drive adoption of generative AI and accelerate revenue growth.

In this podcast, our Chief Economist Patrice Gautry talks about the UBP Global Investment Committee’s views on economic growth, inflation, and interest rates in 2025.

Emerging market (EM) corporate bonds have faced considerable challenges in recent years, with rising geopolitical tensions, defaults in China’s real estate sector, and elevated global interest rates dampening investor appetite; however, the tide may be turning. A shift in the global interest rate environment – marked by a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve and a fresh economic stimulus package in China – offers an opportunity to revisit this often-overlooked asset class.

The statements in late 2024 from China’s central bank and the country’s Politburo sparked hopes of a ‘whatever it takes’ moment, only to see these dashed, as policy actions have fallen short of expectations.

Trump's return to the White House marks the start of a new era that is set to boost US-based companies while the wider global investment landscape continues to contract. 

Infrastructure assets provide essential services to communities, facilitating the transport of people, data, and energy.