06.08.2024
2024 US Elections: a new start
The attempted assassination of Donald Trump, Joe Biden's withdrawal from the race, and the rise of Kamala Harris: unexpected twists have emerged in the US presidential election.
Peter Kinsella
Global Head of Forex Strategy
London, United Kingdom
English
Peter joined UBP in 2018 and oversees the Bank's Forex and Currency strategy. He is a member of UBP’s Asset Allocation Committee and also sits on UBP’s Global Investment Committee.
Peter has nearly 20 years of foreign exchange and fixed income experience, with extensive derivative and structured product expertise. Previously, he was Head of Emerging Market Research at Commerzbank, where he managed an international team covering all of the key emerging market economies (Russia/CIS, EMEA, China and LatAm). He gained significant experience with advanced currency hedging and risk management techniques from his position as FX and Derivatives Trader at Pioneer Investments/Amundi.
Peter holds a bachelor’s degree in Economics from University College Dublin and two master’s degrees, one in Economics from the London School of Economics and one in Law & Economics from the University of Bologna (Italy).
Explore more from Peter
17.06.2024
2024 US elections come into view
Our experts examine the tumultuous US election landscape and historical market behaviour during election years, as well as anticipate the fiscal challenges awaiting the next president amidst record-high US federal debt levels.
16.04.2024
The pound is no longer so vulnerable
There are signs that sterling is set to embark on an upward trend after several years in the doldrums.
22.02.2024
Gold prices should consolidate
In January, gold traded in a tight range of between USD 2,000 and USD 2,050 per oz. This tight trading range reflected a generally subdued trading environment – three-month implied volatilities fell to levels of around 10% – which is a relatively low level of volatility for the yellow metal.
31.01.2024
Four reasons for the yen’s steady appreciation this year
Coming into 2024, here at UBP we hold a constructive view on the JPY. We anticipate that it will continue to appreciate over the course of the year, and we envisage a USD/JPY downward move to levels of around 135 by year-end, with risk skewed to the downside of this level. This represents a decline of at least 6% from current levels. Our generally constructive stance on JPY exchange rates reflects several factors.
26.01.2024
A Glittering Outlook: Gold Promises to Shine in 2024
2024 will be a strong year for gold. Our expectation of ongoing price increases for the yellow metal is driven by several factors, namely the global decline in inflation, weaker USD exchange rates, increasing concerns regarding US debt sustainability, central bank gold purchases, the resilience of gold trading, and ongoing geopolitical risks.