Investment Outlook 2025
Wondering how to invest in a fragmented economy? Look no further for insight into finding the pockets of resilience next year: UBP’s Investment Outlook 2025 is now under way.
Every autumn our experts unveil their outlook on the economy and the markets for the upcoming year in their Investment Outlook roadshow. This includes a launch webcast, a tour across Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, as well as a brochure and podcasts.
Our convictions
Titled "Fragmented Resilience", this year’s Investment Outlook delves into the dynamics of inflation, structural shifts, and geopolitical developments. So far, the global economy has managed to sidestep a recession, demonstrating a remarkable – though uneven – resilience. In this fragmented landscape, our experts shed light on the regions and sectors poised to drive value in 2025.
In this video, dive into UBP’s Investment Outlook 2025 to discover our key convictions for the year ahead.
"Our Investment Outlook 2025 adopts a selective approach in a fragmented investment landscape. Our strength lies in our ability to identify the key opportunities that will shape the year ahead."
Fragmented resilience
The global economy has once again skirted recession for a second consecutive year. Yet, the year ahead may bring additional challenges as growth becomes increasingly fragmented, albeit with certain pockets of resilience.
In the United States, Donald Trump’s return to the White House looks set to deliver a stronger economic boost than anticipated. Outside the US, we expect growth to remain resilient, especially in Asia.
Europe’s economies face another crossroads in their ongoing effort towards a closer union, with elections on the cards. Switzerland, Scandinavia, and the global pharmaceutical sector offer investors exposure to both resilience and innovation.
A resurgence of inflation by late 2025, concern about rising bond yields, and geopolitical tensions are a more prominent feature of today’s landscape. Defence companies are well positioned to benefit from this new environment, while gold remains a vital component of portfolio risk management.
Podcast series
Watch this space for upcoming podcasts with topical contents.
Investment Outlook 2025
Our Corporate Communications Manager Robert Wibberley speaks to six of our experts to explore the economic environment, the key trends, and our main convictions on asset classes.
Our brochure
A brochure covering the global economy, inflation, market developments, currencies, and what we see as the most compelling investment opportunities is available. Download it now and find out about our experts’ convictions.
|
|
Our Investment Outlook experts
-
Michaël Lok
Group CIO and Co-CEO Asset Management
-
Norman Villamin
Group Chief Strategist
-
Nicolas Laroche
Global Head of Advisory & Asset Allocation
-
Patrice Gautry
Chief Economist
-
Peter Kinsella
Global Head of Forex Strategy
-
Dimitri Kallianiotis
Technology Investment Specialist
03.03.2025
The case for office conversion
In New York as well as other major metro areas, once-bustling corporate offices are now quieter, leading companies to adjust to a new reality: remote working is no longer a temporary solution but rather a structural shift. Consequently, corporates are actively reducing their office space footprints, significantly increasing vacancies in the sector.
27.02.2025
Silver: onwards and upwards
At UBP, we think that silver is set to rise substantially over the coming weeks and months, reflecting large global inventory shifts and an increasingly compelling valuation profile.
24.02.2025
DeepSeek: Chinese challenger enters the AI race
A new player has shaken the AI industry. DeepSeek, until recently a little-known Chinese start-up has launched DeepSeek-R1, a low-cost AI model challenging OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which is a stark reminder that the US is no longer the only competitor in the global AI race.
20.02.2025
India: Will the economy get its mojo back?
The post-election fiscal tightening in 2024, coupled with persistent inflationary pressures, has cast a shadow over India’s economy.
19.02.2025
New record for gold
Gold can continue to rise above levels of USD 3,000 per oz this year, as supported by several factors.
18.02.2025
Navigating the 2025 Fixed Income Landscape
The year started with volatility in rates, as the 10-year Treasury yield oscillates amid shifting market dynamics.
14.02.2025
Europe in the crosshairs of US trade policy
At the start of the year, markets dismissed the prospect of US tariffs as mere threats rather than economic realities. But the new Trump administration’s first decisive moves – targeting China, Canada, Mexico, and soon, Europe – have shattered that assumption.
06.02.2025
What investors want: the growing role of private markets
UBP’s Deputy Head of Private Markets Group, Gaetan Aversano, recently took part in a compelling discussion at the IPEM Cannes 2025 conference. The session, titled ‘What wealth clients really want: surprising lessons learned from the field,’ delved into the evolving preferences and needs of wealthy clients, particularly in the realm of private markets.
06.02.2025
UBP House View - February 2025
On his return to the Oval Office, Donald Trump swiftly sparked uncertainty with a trade offensive against Mexico, Canada and China. We expect the return of protectionist policies to fuel market volatility in the months ahead. In this environment, hedge funds and precious metals stand out as resilient investment choices.