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Expertise 27.04.2018

Is global growth peaking?

Confidence has returned to the markets and the beginning of the earnings season looks great, with several positive surprises. The IMF has presented its outlooks for 2018 and 2019 and they seem very upbeat: world growth is expected to come in at 3.9%.

Expertise 25.04.2018

Spotlight - Energy sector: outperformance lies ahead

Having ended 2017 as one of the worst performing global sectors, sustained outperformance lies ahead for energy stocks in 2018. The underlying crude oil market is now undersupplied while inventory levels have fallen sharply. These supply-demand and inventory dynamics have historically translated into improving corporate profitability over the coming 12-24 months.

Expertise 17.04.2018

Quand l’investissement responsable crée de la valeur

L’UBP continue de renforcer son engagement en matière de critères environnementaux, sociaux et de gouvernance (ESG)
Expertise 16.04.2018

Dette d'entreprise émergente durable

Une nouvelle classe d’actifs pour les investisseurs responsables
Expertise 11.04.2018

Investir dans un cycle économique en phase avancée

Un contexte de marché favorable aux obligations convertibles

Expertise 28.03.2018

Japanese equities: good opportunities, particularly in the small-cap segment

The sudden spike in US long-term interest rates set off a more volatile environment for global equity markets. This, combined with a strengthening yen, resulted in a continuing bearish tone in the Japanese market.
Expertise 19.03.2018

Rising fears of protectionism

Protectionism: a tax on growth

Expertise 15.03.2018

Political uncertainty weighs on the yellow metal

Gold retreated earlier in March as trade and geopolitical tensions seemed to abate following President Trump’s announcement.


Expertise 13.03.2018

Spotlight: Tariffs, a regime change in progress

Though markets breathed a sigh of relief following the announcement of US tariffs, investors should regard them as a transition to the next stage of the Trump presidency using the UBP ‘Start-Stop’ Framework. Continued US dollar weakness and a more sustained rise in volatility should characterise the next phase of the Trump administration. Capital protected and hedge fund strategies should help cushion portfolios looking ahead.

Expertise 27.02.2018

Five questions from the road

The high volatility of recent weeks likely represents a regime shift from the low volatility environment of 2017. For bond-focused investors, it means continued diversification away from not only interest rate risk but increasingly, seeking alternative drivers to ongoing narrowing of spreads. For equity investors, high volatility brings opportunities in conservatively structured products while capitalising upon the still strong earnings growth around the world.

Expertise 22.02.2018

Strong fundamentals to help overcome recent market volatility

Since the beginning of the year, investors’ concerns over a return of inflation have come back to the fore and triggered a sharp sell-off in US Treasury bonds. Investors were initially unfazed, as this move reflected solid US growth prospects.

Expertise 21.02.2018

Asian markets welcome the Year of the Dog

From the Desk of a Fund Manager (February 2018): New Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s first day on the job saw him take up the post following an unexpected pick-up in US wage data in January.

Expertise 20.02.2018

The reasons behind the oil price correction

WTI oil prices are flat year-to-date after having seen the best start to a year in over a decade and reaching a 3-year high of USD 66.5 in mid-January.

Expertise 08.02.2018

Spotlight: Normalisation of long-term yields

The next stage in the post-2008 transition.
Expertise 01.02.2018

Addressing systemic risks in China would extend the Asian rally

From the Desk of a Fund Manager (January): The global equity rally in 2017 stemmed not only from subdued geopolitical risks, but also in part from growing evidence of a pickup in world economic trade and a recovery in commodity prices.

Expertise 30.01.2018

US tax cut: a catalyst for small cap stocks

Both chambers of the US Congress are targeting a tax cut which could reach USD 1.5tn over the next decade. Much has been made of the recent US tax reform.